Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001684 0.001794 0.001908 0.002034 0.002171 0.002315 0.002478
2025-01-19 0.001509 0.001662 0.001827 0.002018 0.002235 0.002474 0.002757
2025-01-26 0.001345 0.001518 0.001710 0.001940 0.002209 0.002515 0.002893
2025-02-02 0.001293 0.001490 0.001715 0.001992 0.002325 0.002716 0.003215
2025-02-09 0.001243 0.001458 0.001709 0.002025 0.002416 0.002888 0.003507
2025-02-16 0.001227 0.001464 0.001745 0.002108 0.002568 0.003139 0.003910
2025-02-23 0.001174 0.001420 0.001717 0.002108 0.002613 0.003254 0.004142
2025-03-02 0.001099 0.001344 0.001645 0.002046 0.002575 0.003257 0.004224
2025-03-09 0.001041 0.001286 0.001592 0.002005 0.002559 0.003288 0.004340
2025-03-16 0.001003 0.001253 0.001568 0.002001 0.002590 0.003380 0.004545
2025-03-23 0.000961 0.001212 0.001532 0.001978 0.002593 0.003432 0.004693
2025-03-30 0.000928 0.001180 0.001507 0.001966 0.002611 0.003504 0.004872
2025-04-06 0.000881 0.001132 0.001460 0.001930 0.002600 0.003544 0.005024
2025-04-13 0.000844 0.001096 0.001430 0.001914 0.002617 0.003628 0.005247
2025-04-20 0.000790 0.001034 0.001361 0.001841 0.002547 0.003577 0.005260
2025-04-27 0.000781 0.001034 0.001377 0.001889 0.002656 0.003801 0.005717
2025-05-04 0.000768 0.001026 0.001382 0.001920 0.002741 0.003991 0.006135
2025-05-11 0.000769 0.001040 0.001417 0.001998 0.002902 0.004308 0.006787
2025-05-18 0.000747 0.001019 0.001401 0.001998 0.002939 0.004430 0.007115
2025-05-25 0.000710 0.000974 0.001350 0.001940 0.002882 0.004396 0.007166
2025-06-01 0.000681 0.000940 0.001312 0.001902 0.002855 0.004407 0.007298
2025-06-08 0.000663 0.000922 0.001296 0.001898 0.002883 0.004512 0.007607
2025-06-15 0.000641 0.000897 0.001270 0.001876 0.002879 0.004562 0.007817